Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-11-01 17:30
Burgos – Castellon
Home
34%
2.9 fair
Draw
29%
3.44 fair
Away
37%
2.74 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Burgos – Castellon
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Burgos – Castellon
Expected Goals2.24
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.539%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
36.8%
→
34.4%
-2.4 pp
Draw
27.9%
→
29.0%
+1.2 pp
Away
35.3%
→
36.5%
+1.2 pp
Over 2.5
41.1%
→
38.7%
-2.4 pp
Both teams to score
47.2%
→
45.6%
-1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.32 →
2.24
-0.08
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — |
Both halves
| 7.5% | 13.32 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.69 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.0 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.39 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Total goals
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — |
Both to score
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Corners
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Home corners
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.36 | — |
Away corners
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Cards
| 86.6% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds