Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-25 17:30
Castellon – Sp Gijon
Home
54%
1.85 fair
Draw
24%
4.18 fair
Away
22%
4.52 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Castellon – Sp Gijon
FINAL
Actual Result
4–0
Castellon – Sp Gijon
Expected Goals2.79
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
53.5%
→
53.9%
+0.4 pp
Draw
23.3%
→
23.9%
+0.7 pp
Away
23.2%
→
22.1%
-1.0 pp
Over 2.5
54.4%
→
52.6%
-1.8 pp
Both teams to score
54.8%
→
53.4%
-1.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.86 →
2.79
-0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.18 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.58 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.88 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.23 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.29 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — |
Total goals
| 93.9% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Both to score
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — |
Corners
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
Home corners
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — |
Away corners
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.55 | — |
Cards
| 87.7% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds