Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-18 12:00
Ceuta – Oviedo
Home
27%
3.7 fair
Draw
26%
3.81 fair
Away
47%
2.14 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Ceuta – Oviedo
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Ceuta – Oviedo
Expected Goals2.5
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.546%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
25.3%
→
27.1%
+1.8 pp
Draw
26.9%
→
26.3%
-0.6 pp
Away
47.8%
→
46.7%
-1.1 pp
Over 2.5
42.6%
→
45.7%
+3.1 pp
Both teams to score
46.9%
→
50.0%
+3.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.39 →
2.5
+0.11
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 27.1% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — |
Both halves
| 5.3% | 18.9 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.72 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.35 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.08 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.74 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
Total goals
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Home team goals
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — |
Both to score
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — |
Corners
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
Home corners
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — |
Away corners
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — |
Cards
| 87.3% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds