Fixtures / LaLiga2 / 2026-10-18 19:00
Burgos – Sabadell
Home
30%
3.38 fair
Draw
37%
2.71 fair
Away
34%
2.99 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-0
Burgos – Sabadell
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Burgos – Sabadell
Expected Goals1.49
Both teams to score28%
Over 2.519%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
28.5%
→
29.6%
+1.1 pp
Draw
34.1%
→
36.9%
+2.8 pp
Away
37.4%
→
33.5%
-3.9 pp
Over 2.5
24.4%
→
19.4%
-5.0 pp
Both teams to score
32.8%
→
27.8%
-5.0 pp
Expected Goals
1.71 →
1.49
-0.22
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
0-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — |
Both halves
| 3.8% | 26.18 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.47 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.29 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.25 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
Total goals
| 77.2% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.7 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 93.6% | 1.07 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
Home team goals
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.19 | — |
Away team goals
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — |
Both to score
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
Corners
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 17.1% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — |
Home corners
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — |
Away corners
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Cards
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.95 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds