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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-08 17:30

Villarreal – Getafe

Home 60% 1.66 fair
Draw 24% 4.2 fair
Away 16% 6.25 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-0 Villarreal – Getafe
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 Villarreal – Getafe
Expected Goals2.38
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 59.2% → 60.2% +1.0 pp
Draw 24.0% → 23.8% -0.2 pp
Away 16.9% → 16.0% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 41.7% → 42.6% +0.9 pp
Both teams to score 41.4% → 40.9% -0.5 pp
Expected Goals 2.37 → 2.38 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-0 → 1-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.05 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 6.13 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

60.2% 1.66 —
23.8% 4.2 —
16.0% 6.25 —
84.0% 1.19 —
39.8% 2.51 —
76.2% 1.31 —

Half-time result

48.7% 2.05 —
38.4% 2.61 —
12.9% 7.75 —

Half-time double chance

87.1% 1.15 —
51.3% 1.95 —
61.6% 1.62 —

Both halves

20.1% 4.98 —

HT/FT

43.1% 2.32 —
4.5% 22.03 —
15.6% 6.41 —
16.0% 6.24 —
6.7% 14.84 —
3.2% 30.96 —
8.2% 12.17 —

HT/FT double chance

79.3% 1.26 —
66.5% 1.5 —
28.3% 3.53 —
52.4% 1.91 —
53.8% 1.86 —
17.0% 5.88 —
36.3% 2.75 —
32.0% 3.12 —
34.2% 2.92 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.11 —
68.6% 1.46 —
42.6% 2.35 —
21.7% 4.61 —
31.4% 3.19 —
57.4% 1.74 —
78.3% 1.28 —

1st-half goals

70.6% 1.42 —
34.7% 2.88 —

Home team goals

80.8% 1.24 —
49.5% 2.02 —

Away team goals

50.6% 1.98 —
16.2% 6.19 —

Both to score

40.9% 2.44 —

Corners

63.8% 1.57 —
52.5% 1.91 —
41.6% 2.41 —
31.6% 3.16 —
23.2% 4.31 —
47.5% 2.1 —
58.4% 1.71 —
68.4% 1.46 —
76.8% 1.3 —

Home corners

71.7% 1.4 —
56.7% 1.76 —
41.9% 2.39 —

Away corners

49.5% 2.02 —
33.1% 3.02 —
20.9% 4.78 —

Cards

88.9% 1.13 —
78.6% 1.27 —
66.0% 1.52 —
52.8% 1.89 —
21.4% 4.67 —
34.0% 2.94 —
47.2% 2.12 —

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