Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-08 16:00
Valencia – Real Madrid
Home
18%
5.52 fair
Draw
22%
4.5 fair
Away
60%
1.68 fair
Expected Goals2.76
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
17.7%
→
18.1%
+0.4 pp
Draw
22.3%
→
22.2%
-0.1 pp
Away
60.0%
→
59.7%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
53.4%
→
52.2%
-1.2 pp
Both teams to score
51.8%
→
50.4%
-1.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.81 →
2.76
-0.05
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 18.1% | 5.52 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 14.7% | 6.81 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 85.3% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.2% | 12.24 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.47 | — | |||
| 8.5% | 11.79 | — | |||
| 14.1% | 7.07 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.47 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.65 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.2% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — |
Home team goals
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — |
Both to score
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — |
Corners
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Away corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — |
Cards
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds