Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-08 15:15
Sociedad – Vallecano
Home
50%
1.99 fair
Draw
25%
4.02 fair
Away
25%
4.04 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sociedad – Vallecano
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Sociedad – Vallecano
Expected Goals2.67
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.3%
→
50.4%
+2.1 pp
Draw
25.8%
→
24.9%
-0.9 pp
Away
25.9%
→
24.8%
-1.1 pp
Over 2.5
45.6%
→
49.3%
+3.7 pp
Both teams to score
49.1%
→
51.7%
+2.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.49 →
2.67
+0.18
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 15.1% | 6.62 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.89 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.65 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.19 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.64 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — |
Away team goals
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — |
Both to score
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Corners
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — |
Home corners
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
Away corners
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — |
Cards
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.87 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds