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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-08 16:00

Sevilla – Alaves

Home 44% 2.26 fair
Draw 27% 3.75 fair
Away 29% 3.43 fair
Expected Goals2.49
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.545%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.5% → 44.2% +0.7 pp
Draw 26.8% → 26.7% -0.1 pp
Away 29.8% → 29.1% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 43.4% → 45.3% +1.9 pp
Both teams to score 48.7% → 50.0% +1.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.43 → 2.49 +0.06
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.49
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.19 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.83 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

44.2% 2.26 —
26.7% 3.75 —
29.1% 3.43 —
70.9% 1.41 —
55.8% 1.79 —
73.3% 1.36 —

Half-time result

25.6% 3.9 —
47.5% 2.1 —
26.8% 3.73 —

Half-time double chance

73.2% 1.37 —
74.4% 1.34 —
52.5% 1.91 —

Both halves

10.8% 9.29 —

HT/FT

20.8% 4.8 —
3.7% 26.74 —
19.8% 5.04 —
16.9% 5.93 —
10.8% 9.23 —
3.5% 28.33 —
6.1% 16.39 —
17.2% 5.82 —

HT/FT double chance

61.3% 1.63 —
52.6% 1.9 —
32.5% 3.08 —
34.2% 2.93 —
42.6% 2.35 —
28.1% 3.56 —
46.3% 2.16 —
51.4% 1.95 —
51.0% 1.96 —

Total goals

91.7% 1.09 —
70.9% 1.41 —
45.3% 2.21 —
23.8% 4.19 —
29.1% 3.44 —
54.7% 1.83 —
76.2% 1.31 —

1st-half goals

61.7% 1.62 —
24.8% 4.04 —

Home team goals

75.3% 1.33 —
41.1% 2.44 —

Away team goals

66.3% 1.51 —
29.5% 3.39 —

Both to score

50.0% 2.0 —

Corners

65.9% 1.52 —
54.5% 1.84 —
43.5% 2.3 —
33.4% 2.99 —
24.5% 4.08 —
45.5% 2.2 —
56.5% 1.77 —
66.6% 1.5 —
75.5% 1.32 —

Home corners

72.4% 1.38 —
57.7% 1.73 —
42.7% 2.34 —

Away corners

51.6% 1.94 —
35.0% 2.86 —
21.6% 4.63 —

Cards

87.2% 1.15 —
75.8% 1.32 —
62.6% 1.6 —
49.2% 2.03 —
24.2% 4.13 —
37.4% 2.68 —
50.7% 1.97 —

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