Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-08 16:00
Malaga – Santander
Home
25%
4.02 fair
Draw
22%
4.57 fair
Away
53%
1.88 fair
Expected Goals3.28
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score63%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.8%
→
24.9%
+0.1 pp
Draw
22.4%
→
21.9%
-0.6 pp
Away
52.8%
→
53.2%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
59.8%
→
63.3%
+3.5 pp
Both teams to score
59.9%
→
62.6%
+2.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.11 →
3.28
+0.17
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 85.1% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
Both halves
| 5.5% | 18.12 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.4% | 7.46 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.66 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.41 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.57 | — | |||
| 8.8% | 11.42 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.0 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 25.3% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.8 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
Total goals
| 96.2% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.23 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
1st-half goals
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — |
Both to score
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
Corners
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
Home corners
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — |
Away corners
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — |
Cards
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds