Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-08 20:00
Ath Madrid – Barcelona
Home
34%
2.95 fair
Draw
23%
4.27 fair
Away
43%
2.34 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Ath Madrid – Barcelona
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Ath Madrid – Barcelona
Expected Goals3.25
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
33.0%
→
33.9%
+0.9 pp
Draw
22.6%
→
23.4%
+0.8 pp
Away
44.4%
→
42.6%
-1.7 pp
Over 2.5
63.6%
→
63.0%
-0.6 pp
Both teams to score
64.5%
→
64.4%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.29 →
3.25
-0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 8.5% | 11.74 | — |
HT/FT
| 20.0% | 4.99 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.67 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.26 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.75 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.12 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.17 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.32 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — |
Total goals
| 96.1% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — |
Away team goals
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — |
Both to score
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Corners
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — |
Away corners
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.59 | — |
Cards
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds