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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-01

Vallecano – Celta

Home 39% 2.58 fair
Draw 28% 3.59 fair
Away 33% 3.0 fair
Expected Goals2.36
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.542%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.36
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.37 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 5.37 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

38.8% 2.58 —
27.8% 3.59 —
33.4% 3.0 —
66.6% 1.5 —
61.2% 1.63 —
72.2% 1.39 —

Half-time result

34.0% 2.94 —
44.5% 2.25 —
21.6% 4.64 —

Half-time double chance

78.5% 1.27 —
66.0% 1.51 —
55.5% 1.8 —

Both halves

9.5% 10.53 —

HT/FT

25.2% 3.97 —
6.2% 16.21 —
12.3% 8.13 —
17.8% 5.61 —
14.4% 6.95 —
3.9% 25.97 —
16.4% 6.1 —

HT/FT double chance

61.5% 1.63 —
54.5% 1.84 —
40.9% 2.44 —
36.5% 2.74 —
45.5% 2.2 —
29.0% 3.45 —
35.3% 2.84 —
44.4% 2.25 —
52.4% 1.91 —

Total goals

90.5% 1.1 —
68.3% 1.46 —
42.2% 2.37 —
21.1% 4.73 —
31.7% 3.15 —
57.8% 1.73 —
78.8% 1.27 —

1st-half goals

65.3% 1.53 —
28.5% 3.51 —

Home team goals

71.0% 1.41 —
35.1% 2.85 —

Away team goals

67.4% 1.48 —
30.9% 3.24 —

Both to score

47.9% 2.09 —

Corners

67.3% 1.49 —
56.3% 1.78 —
45.2% 2.21 —
34.6% 2.89 —
26.0% 3.85 —
43.7% 2.29 —
54.8% 1.83 —
65.4% 1.53 —
74.0% 1.35 —

Home corners

74.2% 1.35 —
60.3% 1.66 —
45.6% 2.19 —

Away corners

51.2% 1.95 —
34.2% 2.92 —
21.7% 4.61 —

Cards

84.3% 1.19 —
71.5% 1.4 —
56.9% 1.76 —
42.8% 2.34 —
28.5% 3.5 —
43.1% 2.32 —
57.2% 1.75 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds