Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-01 15:15
Santander – Real Madrid
Home
8%
11.88 fair
Draw
11%
8.85 fair
Away
80%
1.25 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-3
Santander – Real Madrid
FINAL
Actual Result
0–3
Santander – Real Madrid
Expected Goals4.67
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.584%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
9.6%
→
8.4%
-1.2 pp
Draw
10.9%
→
11.3%
+0.4 pp
Away
79.5%
→
80.3%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
87.5%
→
84.5%
-3.0 pp
Both teams to score
71.6%
→
67.2%
-4.4 pp
Expected Goals
5.01 →
4.67
-0.34
Most Likely Score
1-3
→
1-3
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 8.4% | 11.88 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.85 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.07 | — | |||
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — |
Half-time result
| 15.2% | 6.59 | — | |||
| 23.2% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
HT/FT
| 5.8% | 17.24 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.81 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.38 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.0 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 17.1% | 5.84 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.92 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.31 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.7 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
1st-half goals
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.02 | — |
Away team goals
| 96.9% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — |
Both to score
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — |
Corners
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 72.6% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Home corners
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — |
Away corners
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
Cards
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds