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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-01 17:30

Elche – Valencia

Home 49% 2.03 fair
Draw 25% 3.96 fair
Away 26% 3.91 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Elche – Valencia
FINAL Actual Result 0–1 Elche – Valencia
Expected Goals2.59
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 46.8% → 49.2% +2.4 pp
Draw 25.0% → 25.2% +0.2 pp
Away 28.2% → 25.6% -2.6 pp
Over 2.5 51.7% → 48.1% -3.6 pp
Both teams to score 54.6% → 51.4% -3.2 pp
Expected Goals 2.76 → 2.59 -0.17
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.86 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.9 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

49.2% 2.03 —
25.2% 3.96 —
25.6% 3.91 —
74.4% 1.34 —
50.8% 1.97 —
74.8% 1.34 —

Half-time result

29.8% 3.36 —
48.4% 2.07 —
21.9% 4.57 —

Half-time double chance

78.1% 1.28 —
70.2% 1.42 —
51.6% 1.94 —

Both halves

12.6% 7.92 —

HT/FT

24.2% 4.13 —
4.2% 23.75 —
21.4% 4.67 —
15.9% 6.28 —
11.0% 9.09 —
3.5% 28.17 —
5.1% 19.61 —
13.2% 7.55 —

HT/FT double chance

65.8% 1.52 —
58.0% 1.73 —
32.5% 3.08 —
37.1% 2.7 —
42.3% 2.36 —
23.9% 4.18 —
46.0% 2.17 —
49.2% 2.03 —
45.3% 2.21 —

Total goals

92.7% 1.08 —
73.3% 1.36 —
48.1% 2.08 —
26.0% 3.84 —
26.7% 3.75 —
51.9% 1.93 —
74.0% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

60.5% 1.65 —
23.7% 4.21 —

Home team goals

78.8% 1.27 —
46.1% 2.17 —

Away team goals

65.3% 1.53 —
28.2% 3.54 —

Both to score

51.4% 1.95 —

Corners

61.8% 1.62 —
50.6% 1.98 —
39.5% 2.53 —
29.6% 3.38 —
21.6% 4.64 —
49.4% 2.02 —
60.5% 1.65 —
70.4% 1.42 —
78.4% 1.28 —

Home corners

65.2% 1.53 —
49.3% 2.03 —
34.7% 2.88 —

Away corners

55.0% 1.82 —
38.2% 2.62 —
24.9% 4.01 —

Cards

80.4% 1.24 —
65.8% 1.52 —
50.6% 1.98 —
36.5% 2.74 —
34.2% 2.92 —
49.4% 2.02 —
63.5% 1.57 —

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