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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-01 16:00

Barcelona – Alaves

Home 81% 1.24 fair
Draw 12% 8.07 fair
Away 7% 14.14 fair
Expected Goals3.59
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.569%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 80.5% → 80.5% +0.0 pp
Draw 12.5% → 12.4% -0.1 pp
Away 7.0% → 7.1% +0.0 pp
Over 2.5 69.3% → 69.3% -0.0 pp
Both teams to score 49.6% → 49.5% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 3.59 → 3.59 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.59
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.83 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

80.5% 1.24 —
12.4% 8.07 —
7.1% 14.14 —
92.9% 1.08 —
19.5% 5.14 —
87.6% 1.14 —

Half-time result

52.9% 1.89 —
35.0% 2.85 —
12.0% 8.31 —

Half-time double chance

88.0% 1.14 —
47.1% 2.12 —
64.9% 1.54 —

Both halves

38.2% 2.62 —

HT/FT

50.4% 1.98 —
25.1% 3.98 —
7.2% 13.87 —
5.0% 20.08 —
3.1% 32.36 —
4.0% 25.25 —

HT/FT double chance

84.9% 1.18 —
78.7% 1.27 —
12.4% 8.06 —
60.6% 1.65 —
59.8% 1.67 —
9.5% 10.48 —
40.4% 2.47 —
36.8% 2.72 —
17.0% 5.9 —

Total goals

87.5% 1.14 —
69.3% 1.44 —
47.9% 2.09 —
12.6% 7.97 —
30.7% 3.26 —
52.1% 1.92 —

1st-half goals

74.5% 1.34 —
40.1% 2.5 —

Home team goals

94.0% 1.06 —
77.7% 1.29 —

Away team goals

52.7% 1.9 —
17.0% 5.88 —

Both to score

49.5% 2.02 —

Corners

78.3% 1.28 —
69.2% 1.44 —
59.5% 1.68 —
49.4% 2.03 —
40.1% 2.5 —
30.8% 3.25 —
40.5% 2.47 —
50.6% 1.98 —
59.9% 1.67 —

Home corners

87.0% 1.15 —
77.2% 1.3 —
65.7% 1.52 —

Away corners

46.9% 2.13 —
30.7% 3.26 —
18.4% 5.45 —

Cards

80.0% 1.25 —
65.6% 1.52 —
50.0% 2.0 —
35.8% 2.79 —
34.4% 2.91 —
50.0% 2.0 —
64.2% 1.56 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds