Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-11-01 20:00
Ath Bilbao – Sociedad
Home
49%
2.04 fair
Draw
25%
4.04 fair
Away
26%
3.81 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Ath Bilbao – Sociedad
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Ath Bilbao – Sociedad
Expected Goals2.68
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.8%
→
48.9%
+0.1 pp
Draw
25.3%
→
24.8%
-0.5 pp
Away
25.9%
→
26.3%
+0.4 pp
Over 2.5
46.7%
→
50.4%
+3.7 pp
Both teams to score
50.0%
→
52.8%
+2.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.54 →
2.68
+0.14
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.04 | — | |||
| 26.3% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
Both halves
| 14.0% | 7.12 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.42 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.43 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.57 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.9 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.61 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 50.4% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
1st-half goals
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — |
Both to score
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — |
Home corners
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Away corners
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
Cards
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds