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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-25 16:00

Ath Madrid – La Coruna

Home 63% 1.6 fair
Draw 21% 4.75 fair
Away 16% 6.11 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score52%
Over 2.557%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 62.9% → 62.6% -0.4 pp
Draw 20.5% → 21.1% +0.5 pp
Away 16.5% → 16.4% -0.1 pp
Over 2.5 57.1% → 56.9% -0.2 pp
Both teams to score 52.8% → 52.5% -0.3 pp
Expected Goals 2.97 → 2.97 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.97
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.06 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.4 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

62.6% 1.6 —
21.1% 4.75 —
16.4% 6.11 —
83.6% 1.2 —
37.5% 2.67 —
78.9% 1.27 —

Half-time result

48.3% 2.07 —
36.7% 2.73 —
15.0% 6.66 —

Half-time double chance

85.0% 1.18 —
51.7% 1.93 —
63.3% 1.58 —

Both halves

23.5% 4.25 —

HT/FT

42.1% 2.38 —
4.8% 20.66 —
17.8% 5.61 —
12.4% 8.04 —
6.4% 15.58 —
3.8% 26.39 —
8.6% 11.63 —

HT/FT double chance

77.2% 1.3 —
67.7% 1.48 —
25.1% 3.99 —
53.4% 1.87 —
54.7% 1.83 —
18.6% 5.38 —
36.7% 2.73 —
35.5% 2.82 —
31.2% 3.2 —

Total goals

94.7% 1.06 —
79.5% 1.26 —
56.9% 1.76 —
34.6% 2.89 —
20.5% 4.87 —
43.1% 2.32 —
65.4% 1.53 —

1st-half goals

73.7% 1.36 —
38.5% 2.6 —

Home team goals

86.6% 1.15 —
60.7% 1.65 —

Away team goals

60.5% 1.65 —
23.9% 4.18 —

Both to score

52.5% 1.91 —

Corners

72.9% 1.37 —
62.9% 1.59 —
52.2% 1.92 —
42.0% 2.38 —
32.4% 3.09 —
37.1% 2.69 —
47.8% 2.09 —
58.0% 1.72 —
67.6% 1.48 —

Home corners

80.8% 1.24 —
68.7% 1.46 —
55.3% 1.81 —

Away corners

50.8% 1.97 —
34.0% 2.94 —
20.9% 4.78 —

Cards

75.2% 1.33 —
58.6% 1.71 —
43.1% 2.32 —
29.8% 3.36 —
41.4% 2.41 —
56.9% 1.76 —
70.2% 1.42 —

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