Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-25 16:00
Alaves – Malaga
Home
64%
1.57 fair
Draw
27%
3.73 fair
Away
9%
10.64 fair
Expected Goals1.84
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score25%
Over 2.528%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.8%
→
63.8%
-0.0 pp
Draw
26.9%
→
26.8%
-0.0 pp
Away
9.4%
→
9.4%
+0.0 pp
Over 2.5
28.4%
→
28.4%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
25.0%
→
25.0%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
1.84 →
1.84
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.64 | — | |||
| 90.6% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
Half-time result
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.08 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 91.7% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — |
Both halves
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — |
HT/FT
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.0 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.63 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.84 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.46 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — |
Total goals
| 83.8% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.65 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 88.4% | 1.13 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — |
Away team goals
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.48 | — |
Both to score
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — |
Corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — |
Away corners
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — |
Cards
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds