Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-18 19:00
Real Madrid – Sevilla
Home
77%
1.3 fair
Draw
14%
6.9 fair
Away
9%
11.39 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-0
Real Madrid – Sevilla
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
Real Madrid – Sevilla
Expected Goals3.37
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.565%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
76.8%
→
76.7%
-0.1 pp
Draw
14.4%
→
14.5%
+0.1 pp
Away
8.7%
→
8.8%
+0.1 pp
Over 2.5
65.3%
→
65.4%
+0.1 pp
Both teams to score
49.8%
→
49.4%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
3.36 →
3.37
+0.01
Most Likely Score
2-0
→
2-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.9 | — | |||
| 8.8% | 11.39 | — | |||
| 91.2% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 85.5% | 1.17 | — |
Half-time result
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.45 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 91.3% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — |
Both halves
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
HT/FT
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.74 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.79 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 11.99 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.63 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.45 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.2 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — |
Total goals
| 96.6% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Home team goals
| 92.6% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — |
Both to score
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — |
Corners
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — |
Away corners
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.26 | — |
Cards
| 85.3% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds