Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-18 16:30
Malaga – Sociedad
Home
18%
5.56 fair
Draw
28%
3.63 fair
Away
55%
1.83 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Malaga – Sociedad
FINAL
Actual Result
2–5
Malaga – Sociedad
Expected Goals2.04
Both teams to score36%
Over 2.534%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
16.3%
→
18.0%
+1.7 pp
Draw
28.4%
→
27.5%
-0.9 pp
Away
55.3%
→
54.5%
-0.8 pp
Over 2.5
30.8%
→
33.6%
+2.8 pp
Both teams to score
32.7%
→
36.2%
+3.4 pp
Expected Goals
1.94 →
2.04
+0.1
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 18.0% | 5.56 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — |
Half-time result
| 11.4% | 8.75 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 50.4% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 88.6% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.6% | 11.66 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.08 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.08 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.92 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.52 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.69 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — |
Total goals
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — |
Home team goals
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.06 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — |
Both to score
| 36.2% | 2.77 | — |
Corners
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Away corners
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — |
Cards
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds