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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-18

Malaga – Sociedad

Home 16% 6.13 fair
Draw 28% 3.52 fair
Away 55% 1.81 fair
Expected Goals1.94
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score33%
Over 2.531%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 1.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.2 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.77 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

16.3% 6.13 —
28.4% 3.52 —
55.3% 1.81 —
44.7% 2.24 —
83.7% 1.19 —
71.6% 1.4 —

Half-time result

15.1% 6.64 —
40.9% 2.45 —
44.0% 2.27 —

Half-time double chance

56.0% 1.79 —
84.9% 1.18 —
59.1% 1.69 —

HT/FT

10.7% 9.38 —
3.3% 30.21 —
5.2% 19.05 —
21.5% 4.66 —
14.2% 7.06 —
3.6% 27.7 —
40.0% 2.5 —

HT/FT double chance

40.7% 2.46 —
31.2% 3.21 —
40.1% 2.5 —
18.0% 5.56 —
52.2% 1.92 —
48.0% 2.08 —
30.8% 3.25 —
59.8% 1.67 —
79.3% 1.26 —

Total goals

85.6% 1.17 —
57.6% 1.74 —
30.8% 3.25 —
13.3% 7.51 —
42.4% 2.36 —
69.2% 1.44 —
86.7% 1.15 —

1st-half goals

69.2% 1.45 —
32.9% 3.04 —

Home team goals

44.3% 2.26 —
12.1% 8.24 —

Away team goals

74.0% 1.35 —
39.0% 2.57 —

Both to score

32.7% 3.06 —

Corners

74.9% 1.34 —
64.5% 1.55 —
53.8% 1.86 —
43.4% 2.3 —
34.1% 2.93 —
35.5% 2.82 —
46.2% 2.17 —
56.6% 1.77 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Home corners

70.9% 1.41 —
56.4% 1.77 —
41.9% 2.39 —

Away corners

67.7% 1.48 —
52.3% 1.91 —
37.7% 2.65 —

Cards

79.6% 1.26 —
64.0% 1.56 —
48.8% 2.05 —
34.8% 2.87 —
36.0% 2.78 —
51.2% 1.95 —
65.2% 1.53 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds