Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-18 14:15
Celta – Alaves
Home
49%
2.02 fair
Draw
27%
3.77 fair
Away
24%
4.16 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Celta – Alaves
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Celta – Alaves
Expected Goals2.44
Both teams to score48%
Over 2.544%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
50.1%
→
49.4%
-0.7 pp
Draw
25.6%
→
26.6%
+0.9 pp
Away
24.3%
→
24.0%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
45.5%
→
44.4%
-1.1 pp
Both teams to score
48.8%
→
47.6%
-1.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.49 →
2.44
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Both halves
| 12.6% | 7.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.33 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.66 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.81 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.06 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.3 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — |
Total goals
| 91.0% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
1st-half goals
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — |
Both to score
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — |
Corners
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — |
Home corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Away corners
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — |
Cards
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 59.7% | 1.67 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds