Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-18 12:00
Osasuna – Santander
Home
65%
1.55 fair
Draw
17%
5.96 fair
Away
19%
5.36 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Osasuna – Santander
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Osasuna – Santander
Expected Goals4.2
Both teams to score71%
Over 2.579%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.2%
→
64.6%
-0.6 pp
Draw
17.1%
→
16.8%
-0.3 pp
Away
17.7%
→
18.6%
+0.9 pp
Over 2.5
76.5%
→
78.8%
+2.3 pp
Both teams to score
68.7%
→
71.5%
+2.7 pp
Expected Goals
4.03 →
4.2
+0.17
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.36 | — | |||
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.75 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — |
Both halves
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
HT/FT
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.51 | — | |||
| 7.9% | 12.63 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.12 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.61 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.16 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.91 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — |
Total goals
| 91.9% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.3 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 91.2% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
Home team goals
| 93.4% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Away team goals
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — |
Both to score
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Corners
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Away corners
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — |
Cards
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 57.7% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds