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Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-17 19:00

Valencia – Ath Bilbao

Home 35% 2.83 fair
Draw 29% 3.51 fair
Away 36% 2.77 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Valencia – Ath Bilbao
FINAL Actual Result 0–0 Valencia – Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals2.26
Both teams to score46%
Over 2.539%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.5% → 35.4% -0.1 pp
Draw 28.2% → 28.5% +0.3 pp
Away 36.3% → 36.1% -0.2 pp
Over 2.5 39.8% → 39.4% -0.4 pp
Both teams to score 46.0% → 45.9% -0.1 pp
Expected Goals 2.27 → 2.26 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.26
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.34 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.44 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

35.4% 2.83 —
28.5% 3.51 —
36.1% 2.77 —
63.9% 1.56 —
64.6% 1.55 —
71.5% 1.4 —

Half-time result

20.7% 4.84 —
54.0% 1.85 —
25.3% 3.95 —

Half-time double chance

74.7% 1.34 —
79.3% 1.26 —
46.0% 2.17 —

Both halves

6.8% 14.75 —

HT/FT

15.2% 6.57 —
3.8% 26.18 —
18.0% 5.56 —
19.6% 5.1 —
16.4% 6.09 —
5.1% 19.61 —
18.1% 5.54 —

HT/FT double chance

56.6% 1.77 —
51.2% 1.95 —
41.5% 2.41 —
26.3% 3.8 —
37.1% 2.7 —
28.6% 3.49 —
44.9% 2.23 —
54.6% 1.83 —
59.2% 1.69 —

Total goals

89.7% 1.11 —
66.0% 1.51 —
39.4% 2.54 —
19.5% 5.13 —
34.0% 2.94 —
60.6% 1.65 —
80.5% 1.24 —

1st-half goals

52.9% 1.89 —
17.6% 5.69 —

Home team goals

67.5% 1.48 —
31.2% 3.21 —

Away team goals

68.1% 1.47 —
31.6% 3.17 —

Both to score

45.9% 2.18 —

Corners

66.8% 1.5 —
56.0% 1.79 —
45.1% 2.22 —
34.9% 2.87 —
25.7% 3.89 —
44.0% 2.27 —
54.9% 1.82 —
65.1% 1.54 —
74.3% 1.35 —

Home corners

63.1% 1.58 —
46.6% 2.15 —
31.9% 3.14 —

Away corners

65.1% 1.53 —
49.1% 2.04 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Cards

75.8% 1.32 —
59.4% 1.68 —
43.7% 2.29 —
29.9% 3.34 —
40.6% 2.46 —
56.3% 1.78 —
70.1% 1.43 —

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