Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-17 14:15
Villarreal – Elche
Home
68%
1.48 fair
Draw
18%
5.64 fair
Away
15%
6.85 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Villarreal – Elche
FINAL
Actual Result
0–0
Villarreal – Elche
Expected Goals3.54
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.569%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
68.1%
→
67.7%
-0.4 pp
Draw
17.1%
→
17.7%
+0.6 pp
Away
14.8%
→
14.6%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
71.6%
→
68.7%
-2.9 pp
Both teams to score
62.9%
→
60.2%
-2.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.73 →
3.54
-0.19
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 17.7% | 5.64 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — | |||
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — |
Half-time result
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.06 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — |
Both halves
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — |
HT/FT
| 52.5% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.48 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.6 | — | |||
| 9.1% | 10.94 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.08 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.45 | — | |||
| 7.2% | 13.95 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 22.0% | 4.55 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.67 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — |
Total goals
| 97.0% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — |
1st-half goals
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.5% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Both to score
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — |
Corners
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Home corners
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — |
Away corners
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — |
Cards
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds