Fixtures / LaLiga / 2026-10-17 12:00
Espanol – Ath Madrid
Home
24%
4.13 fair
Draw
25%
4.07 fair
Away
51%
1.95 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Espanol – Ath Madrid
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Espanol – Ath Madrid
Expected Goals2.71
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.3%
→
24.2%
-0.2 pp
Draw
24.5%
→
24.6%
+0.0 pp
Away
51.1%
→
51.2%
+0.1 pp
Over 2.5
50.9%
→
50.9%
+0.0 pp
Both teams to score
52.8%
→
52.8%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.71 →
2.71
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 4.5% | 22.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.7% | 8.57 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.73 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.45 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.64 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.61 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — |
Total goals
| 93.4% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 28.9% | 3.46 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.1% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Both to score
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 66.9% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — |
Home corners
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — |
Away corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Cards
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds