Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-21
Groningen – Heerenveen
Home
41%
2.43 fair
Draw
24%
4.24 fair
Away
35%
2.84 fair
Expected Goals3.22
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score64%
Over 2.562%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.1%
→
41.2%
-1.9 pp
Draw
24.9%
→
23.6%
-1.3 pp
Away
32.0%
→
35.1%
+3.2 pp
Over 2.5
55.4%
→
61.8%
+6.4 pp
Both teams to score
58.5%
→
63.8%
+5.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.9 →
3.22
+0.32
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.74 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 11.8% | 8.5 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.7% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.29 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.67 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.75 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.12 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.32 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 19.9% | 5.03 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — |
Total goals
| 96.0% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Home team goals
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — |
Both to score
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — |
Corners
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — |
Away corners
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
Cards
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.57 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 89.5% | 1.12 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds