Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-21
Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven
Home
20%
4.91 fair
Draw
18%
5.68 fair
Away
62%
1.61 fair
Expected Goals4.15
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score72%
Over 2.578%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.5%
→
20.4%
-0.2 pp
Draw
17.3%
→
17.6%
+0.3 pp
Away
62.1%
→
62.0%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
80.3%
→
77.9%
-2.4 pp
Both teams to score
74.0%
→
72.2%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
4.31 →
4.15
-0.16
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.68 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — |
Half-time result
| 17.1% | 5.83 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.72 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — |
Both halves
| 4.4% | 22.52 | — |
HT/FT
| 10.7% | 9.32 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.32 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.49 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.52 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.33 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.81 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.33 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — |
Total goals
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.89 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 87.6% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.8% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — |
Away team goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — |
Both to score
| 72.2% | 1.39 | — |
Corners
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — |
Away corners
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Cards
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.79 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 82.8% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds