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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-08 19:00

Utrecht – Nijmegen

Home 39% 2.56 fair
Draw 23% 4.27 fair
Away 38% 2.67 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Utrecht – Nijmegen
FINAL Actual Result 2–3 Utrecht – Nijmegen
Expected Goals3.31
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 40.6% → 39.1% -1.5 pp
Draw 22.1% → 23.4% +1.4 pp
Away 37.4% → 37.5% +0.1 pp
Over 2.5 66.3% → 64.2% -2.1 pp
Both teams to score 66.8% → 65.4% -1.4 pp
Expected Goals 3.41 → 3.31 -0.1
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.94 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.64 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.1% 2.56 —
23.4% 4.27 —
37.5% 2.67 —
62.5% 1.6 —
61.0% 1.64 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

35.9% 2.79 —
39.8% 2.51 —
24.3% 4.11 —

Half-time double chance

75.7% 1.32 —
64.1% 1.56 —
60.2% 1.66 —

Both halves

11.2% 8.97 —

HT/FT

25.0% 4.01 —
6.9% 14.53 —
4.0% 24.81 —
12.0% 8.35 —
12.5% 8.03 —
15.4% 6.51 —
4.1% 24.39 —
18.1% 5.52 —

HT/FT double chance

56.3% 1.78 —
56.3% 1.78 —
38.7% 2.58 —
38.1% 2.63 —
49.2% 2.03 —
33.1% 3.02 —
30.7% 3.26 —
47.6% 2.1 —
50.0% 2.0 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
83.8% 1.19 —
64.2% 1.56 —
42.3% 2.36 —
16.2% 6.18 —
35.8% 2.79 —
57.7% 1.73 —

1st-half goals

72.6% 1.38 —
37.8% 2.64 —

Home team goals

81.1% 1.23 —
49.8% 2.01 —

Away team goals

80.5% 1.24 —
48.3% 2.07 —

Both to score

65.4% 1.53 —

Corners

72.7% 1.38 —
62.2% 1.61 —
51.2% 1.95 —
40.8% 2.45 —
31.4% 3.18 —
37.8% 2.64 —
48.8% 2.05 —
59.2% 1.69 —
68.6% 1.46 —

Home corners

71.7% 1.39 —
56.8% 1.76 —
42.1% 2.37 —

Away corners

63.9% 1.56 —
47.6% 2.1 —
33.4% 3.0 —

Cards

65.3% 1.53 —
47.1% 2.12 —
31.0% 3.23 —
18.8% 5.31 —
52.9% 1.89 —
69.0% 1.45 —
81.2% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds