Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-08 15:45
AZ Alkmaar – Groningen
Home
55%
1.82 fair
Draw
23%
4.42 fair
Away
23%
4.44 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
AZ Alkmaar – Groningen
FINAL
Actual Result
4–3
AZ Alkmaar – Groningen
Expected Goals3.06
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
57.3%
→
54.9%
-2.4 pp
Draw
22.2%
→
22.6%
+0.4 pp
Away
20.5%
→
22.5%
+2.0 pp
Over 2.5
56.8%
→
59.0%
+2.2 pp
Both teams to score
55.2%
→
58.2%
+3.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.95 →
3.06
+0.11
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.21 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Both halves
| 18.7% | 5.35 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.26 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.11 | — | |||
| 12.8% | 7.84 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.41 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.9 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.95 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.8 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
Total goals
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.5% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 19.5% | 5.13 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.8% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — |
Both to score
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — |
Home corners
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — |
Away corners
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — |
Cards
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 17.3% | 5.78 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 82.7% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds