Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-08 13:30
Twente – Ajax
Home
43%
2.31 fair
Draw
24%
4.19 fair
Away
33%
3.04 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Twente – Ajax
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Twente – Ajax
Expected Goals2.96
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
40.4%
→
43.2%
+2.8 pp
Draw
24.1%
→
23.8%
-0.3 pp
Away
35.4%
→
32.9%
-2.5 pp
Over 2.5
56.4%
→
57.1%
+0.8 pp
Both teams to score
59.3%
→
59.4%
+0.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.95 →
2.96
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 11.7% | 8.53 | — |
HT/FT
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.84 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.08 | — | |||
| 13.1% | 7.66 | — | |||
| 9.6% | 10.38 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.43 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.87 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.2% | 2.61 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
Both to score
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — |
Corners
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Away corners
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — |
Cards
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 17.0% | 5.88 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 83.0% | 1.21 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds