Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-07 17:45
Den Haag – Sparta Rotterdam
Home
38%
2.64 fair
Draw
25%
4.08 fair
Away
38%
2.67 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Den Haag – Sparta Rotterdam
FINAL
Actual Result
3–1
Den Haag – Sparta Rotterdam
Expected Goals3.04
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
30.2%
→
38.0%
+7.7 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
24.5%
+0.6 pp
Away
45.8%
→
37.5%
-8.3 pp
Over 2.5
57.9%
→
58.5%
+0.6 pp
Both teams to score
60.0%
→
61.0%
+0.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.03 →
3.04
+0.01
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.0% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 13.7% | 7.32 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
Both halves
| 6.3% | 15.85 | — |
HT/FT
| 10.6% | 9.44 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — | |||
| 11.6% | 8.61 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.6 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.29 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.45 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — |
Total goals
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.16 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — |
Both to score
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Corners
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — |
Away corners
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 28.1% | 3.56 | — |
Cards
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds