Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-06 19:00
Willem II – Zwolle
Home
25%
3.92 fair
Draw
23%
4.28 fair
Away
51%
1.96 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Willem II – Zwolle
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Willem II – Zwolle
Expected Goals3.04
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.1%
→
25.5%
-6.6 pp
Draw
25.2%
→
23.4%
-1.8 pp
Away
42.7%
→
51.1%
+8.5 pp
Over 2.5
53.0%
→
58.7%
+5.6 pp
Both teams to score
56.7%
→
59.2%
+2.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.81 →
3.04
+0.23
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — |
Both halves
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.2% | 8.19 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.23 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.65 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.97 | — | |||
| 14.0% | 7.15 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.85 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Total goals
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — |
Both to score
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 63.9% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — |
Away corners
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — |
Cards
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.84 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 9.0 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 88.9% | 1.12 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds