Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-01 15:45
Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam
Home
49%
2.03 fair
Draw
24%
4.2 fair
Away
27%
3.71 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam
Expected Goals2.97
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
5 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
47.0%
→
49.3%
+2.3 pp
Draw
25.1%
→
23.8%
-1.3 pp
Away
27.9%
→
26.9%
-1.0 pp
Over 2.5
50.3%
→
56.8%
+6.5 pp
Both teams to score
53.8%
→
57.8%
+4.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.69 →
2.97
+0.28
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.2 | — | |||
| 26.9% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Both halves
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.79 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.5 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.2 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.16 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.36 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — |
Total goals
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.89 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.3% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — |
Both to score
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Corners
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Home corners
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Away corners
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.06 | — |
Cards
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds