Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-11-01 13:30
Excelsior – Twente
Home
22%
4.56 fair
Draw
23%
4.37 fair
Away
55%
1.81 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Excelsior – Twente
FINAL
Actual Result
0–9
Excelsior – Twente
Expected Goals2.92
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
26.6%
→
21.9%
-4.7 pp
Draw
23.9%
→
22.9%
-1.0 pp
Away
49.5%
→
55.2%
+5.7 pp
Over 2.5
55.4%
→
55.7%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
57.0%
→
55.6%
-1.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.9 →
2.92
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 21.9% | 4.56 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — |
Both halves
| 4.2% | 23.53 | — |
HT/FT
| 14.0% | 7.14 | — | |||
| 6.4% | 15.62 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.47 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.9 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — |
Both to score
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — |
Corners
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — |
Away corners
| 70.2% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Cards
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.59 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds