Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-31 20:00
Ajax – AZ Alkmaar
Home
51%
1.96 fair
Draw
23%
4.43 fair
Away
26%
3.78 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Ajax – AZ Alkmaar
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Ajax – AZ Alkmaar
Expected Goals3.08
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.560%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
9 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.9%
→
51.0%
+2.1 pp
Draw
23.1%
→
22.6%
-0.6 pp
Away
27.9%
→
26.5%
-1.5 pp
Over 2.5
59.3%
→
59.5%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
60.1%
→
59.4%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.08 →
3.08
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.14 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — |
Both halves
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 6.2% | 16.23 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.03 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.64 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.25 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.43 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
Total goals
| 95.4% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.0% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 19.0% | 5.25 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.7% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — |
Both to score
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — |
Corners
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.42 | — |
Home corners
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — |
Away corners
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Cards
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.91 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 79.6% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds