Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-31 17:45
PSV Eindhoven – Willem II
Home
95%
1.05 fair
Draw
3%
28.9 fair
Away
2%
63.29 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
4-0
PSV Eindhoven – Willem II
FINAL
Actual Result
7–0
PSV Eindhoven – Willem II
Expected Goals5.38
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.590%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
93.5%
→
95.0%
+1.5 pp
Draw
4.6%
→
3.5%
-1.1 pp
Away
1.9%
→
1.6%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
87.4%
→
90.3%
+2.9 pp
Both teams to score
48.2%
→
49.0%
+0.8 pp
Expected Goals
5.0 →
5.38
+0.38
Most Likely Score
4-0
→
4-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 95.0% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.9 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 96.5% | 1.04 | — |
Half-time result
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.99 | — | |||
| 4.1% | 24.33 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 95.9% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — |
Both halves
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — |
HT/FT
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.01 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 95.0% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 93.3% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.82 | — | |||
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 81.6% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.49 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.06 | — |
Total goals
| 90.3% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.32 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — |
1st-half goals
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
Home team goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — |
Away team goals
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.64 | — |
Both to score
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — |
Corners
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — |
Home corners
| 93.2% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Away corners
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.4 | — |
Cards
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 22.2% | 4.5 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.92 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds