Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-25 19:00
AZ Alkmaar – Twente
Home
41%
2.45 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
34%
2.9 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
AZ Alkmaar – Twente
FINAL
Actual Result
0–2
AZ Alkmaar – Twente
Expected Goals2.77
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.552%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.1%
→
40.8%
-0.3 pp
Draw
25.3%
→
24.8%
-0.5 pp
Away
33.6%
→
34.4%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
53.7%
→
52.1%
-1.6 pp
Both teams to score
57.2%
→
55.5%
-1.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.82 →
2.77
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 10.8% | 9.29 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.7% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.8 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.82 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.33 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.79 | — | |||
| 20.4% | 4.9 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 34.0% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — |
Total goals
| 93.7% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.1% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 69.9% | 1.43 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Both to score
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Corners
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — |
Away corners
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.54 | — |
Cards
| 61.2% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.62 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds