Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-25 15:45
Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax
Home
22%
4.61 fair
Draw
21%
4.67 fair
Away
57%
1.76 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax
Expected Goals3.14
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
21.8%
→
21.7%
-0.1 pp
Draw
22.1%
→
21.4%
-0.7 pp
Away
56.1%
→
56.9%
+0.8 pp
Over 2.5
58.2%
→
60.8%
+2.6 pp
Both teams to score
56.9%
→
59.0%
+2.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.01 →
3.14
+0.13
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 21.7% | 4.61 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 16.4% | 6.09 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 83.6% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.71 | — |
Both halves
| 3.9% | 25.84 | — |
HT/FT
| 9.6% | 10.43 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.32 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.65 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.25 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.19 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.16 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.05 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.35 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Total goals
| 95.8% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.54 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — |
Home team goals
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Both to score
| 59.0% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — |
Away corners
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.1 | — |
Cards
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 79.9% | 1.25 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds