Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-25 11:15
For Sittard – Excelsior
Home
43%
2.33 fair
Draw
24%
4.1 fair
Away
33%
3.05 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
For Sittard – Excelsior
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
For Sittard – Excelsior
Expected Goals3.0
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
38.3%
→
42.8%
+4.6 pp
Draw
24.3%
→
24.4%
+0.1 pp
Away
37.4%
→
32.8%
-4.6 pp
Over 2.5
55.8%
→
57.5%
+1.8 pp
Both teams to score
58.7%
→
59.8%
+1.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.93 →
3.0
+0.07
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.8% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.3% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 28.0% | 3.58 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — |
Both halves
| 12.0% | 8.35 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.2% | 3.96 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.08 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.89 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.25 | — | |||
| 11.4% | 8.78 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.15 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.83 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.19 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — |
Total goals
| 94.9% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.1% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — |
Both to score
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — |
Corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — |
Home corners
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Away corners
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — |
Cards
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.3 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds