Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-18 18:00
Nijmegen – For Sittard
Home
61%
1.64 fair
Draw
19%
5.17 fair
Away
20%
5.08 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Nijmegen – For Sittard
FINAL
Actual Result
2–2
Nijmegen – For Sittard
Expected Goals3.39
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.2%
→
60.9%
-0.2 pp
Draw
19.8%
→
19.4%
-0.4 pp
Away
19.0%
→
19.7%
+0.7 pp
Over 2.5
66.6%
→
65.8%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
62.0%
→
61.5%
-0.5 pp
Expected Goals
3.44 →
3.39
-0.05
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.08 | — | |||
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 34.7% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — |
Both halves
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 22.7% | 4.41 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.21 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.31 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.14 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.45 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.3 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.42 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — |
Total goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.0% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.66 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.41 | — |
Home team goals
| 88.7% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 64.7% | 1.55 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — |
Both to score
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
Corners
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 41.6% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
Home corners
| 86.9% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 77.2% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — |
Away corners
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — |
Cards
| 71.2% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 24.0% | 4.16 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds