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Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-18 12:30

Cambuur – AZ Alkmaar

Home 15% 6.72 fair
Draw 18% 5.64 fair
Away 67% 1.48 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-2 Cambuur – AZ Alkmaar
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Cambuur – AZ Alkmaar
Expected Goals3.45
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.567%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 12.6% → 14.9% +2.3 pp
Draw 15.9% → 17.7% +1.8 pp
Away 71.5% → 67.4% -4.1 pp
Over 2.5 73.0% → 67.2% -5.7 pp
Both teams to score 61.9% → 58.9% -3.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.81 → 3.45 -0.36
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.45
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.14 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.67 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

14.9% 6.72 —
17.7% 5.64 —
67.4% 1.48 —
32.6% 3.07 —
85.1% 1.17 —
82.3% 1.22 —

Half-time result

8.5% 11.79 —
26.9% 3.72 —
64.6% 1.55 —

Half-time double chance

35.4% 2.83 —
91.5% 1.09 —
73.1% 1.37 —

HT/FT

5.2% 19.12 —
7.0% 14.31 —
9.1% 10.98 —
10.8% 9.27 —
6.6% 15.06 —
55.3% 1.81 —

HT/FT double chance

23.3% 4.29 —
24.3% 4.12 —
23.1% 4.32 —
16.5% 6.05 —
64.5% 1.55 —
65.2% 1.53 —
25.4% 3.94 —
75.8% 1.32 —
81.8% 1.22 —

Total goals

96.8% 1.03 —
85.6% 1.17 —
67.2% 1.49 —
45.1% 2.22 —
14.4% 6.93 —
32.8% 3.05 —
54.9% 1.82 —

1st-half goals

81.9% 1.22 —
51.2% 1.95 —

Home team goals

64.9% 1.54 —
28.1% 3.56 —

Away team goals

90.8% 1.1 —
69.0% 1.45 —

Both to score

58.9% 1.7 —

Corners

74.5% 1.34 —
64.4% 1.55 —
53.9% 1.86 —
43.0% 2.32 —
33.2% 3.01 —
35.6% 2.81 —
46.1% 2.17 —
57.0% 1.76 —
66.8% 1.5 —

Home corners

62.1% 1.61 —
45.6% 2.2 —
31.1% 3.22 —

Away corners

75.5% 1.32 —
61.1% 1.64 —
46.9% 2.13 —

Cards

66.5% 1.5 —
47.7% 2.1 —
31.2% 3.21 —
19.1% 5.24 —
52.3% 1.91 —
68.8% 1.45 —
80.9% 1.24 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds