Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-17 19:00
Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II
Home
61%
1.63 fair
Draw
21%
4.72 fair
Away
17%
5.76 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II
FINAL
Actual Result
3–2
Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II
Expected Goals2.93
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
60.2%
→
61.5%
+1.3 pp
Draw
22.4%
→
21.2%
-1.2 pp
Away
17.4%
→
17.4%
-0.1 pp
Over 2.5
53.1%
→
56.3%
+3.2 pp
Both teams to score
51.1%
→
52.8%
+1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.79 →
2.93
+0.14
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.72 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 13.7% | 7.29 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — |
Both halves
| 19.7% | 5.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.58 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.26 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.19 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 29.94 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.41 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.56 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 28.2% | 3.55 | — | |||
| 41.8% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — |
Total goals
| 94.6% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.75 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — |
Both to score
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
Corners
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 41.2% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — |
Home corners
| 81.8% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — |
Away corners
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — |
Cards
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.52 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.16 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 87.7% | 1.14 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds