Fixtures / Eredivisie / 2026-10-17 14:30
Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven
Home
5%
19.8 fair
Draw
8%
13.25 fair
Away
87%
1.14 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-3
Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven
Expected Goals4.93
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.587%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
4.0%
→
5.1%
+1.1 pp
Draw
7.4%
→
7.5%
+0.2 pp
Away
88.7%
→
87.4%
-1.3 pp
Over 2.5
85.1%
→
86.8%
+1.7 pp
Both teams to score
56.4%
→
62.1%
+5.7 pp
Expected Goals
4.77 →
4.93
+0.16
Most Likely Score
0-4
→
1-3
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 5.1% | 19.8 | — | |||
| 7.5% | 13.25 | — | |||
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.94 | — | |||
| 95.0% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 92.5% | 1.08 | — |
Half-time result
| 6.0% | 16.53 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.71 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 3.6% | 27.78 | — | |||
| 12.0% | 8.3 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 9.2% | 10.92 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.18 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.01 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 8.9% | 11.26 | — | |||
| 87.7% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 91.3% | 1.1 | — |
Total goals
| 95.5% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 86.8% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.37 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.6 | — | |||
| 27.8% | 3.6 | — |
1st-half goals
| 91.2% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — |
Home team goals
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 90.3% | 1.11 | — |
Both to score
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — |
Corners
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — |
Away corners
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — |
Cards
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.75 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.58 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 88.3% | 1.13 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds