Newcastle – Arsenal
Home
20%
4.93 fair
Draw
24%
4.13 fair
Away
56%
1.8 fair
Expected Goals2.64
Most Likely Score0-1
Both teams to score50%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
22.9%
→
20.3%
-2.6 pp
Draw
23.8%
→
24.2%
+0.4 pp
Away
53.4%
→
55.5%
+2.1 pp
Over 2.5
52.3%
→
49.2%
-3.1 pp
Both teams to score
53.2%
→
49.6%
-3.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.77 →
2.64
-0.13
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 20.3% | 4.93 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Both halves
| 3.5% | 28.49 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.3% | 8.14 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.7 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.99 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.16 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — | |||
| 3.4% | 29.41 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.49 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — |
Total goals
| 92.7% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.7 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.83 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Home team goals
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Both to score
| 49.6% | 2.01 | — |
Corners
| 72.2% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 30.1% | 3.32 | — |
Away corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — |
Cards
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds