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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-21

Coventry – Crystal Palace

Home 35% 2.89 fair
Draw 25% 3.98 fair
Away 40% 2.48 fair
Expected Goals2.83
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.554%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 10.7% → 34.6% +23.9 pp
Draw 26.9% → 25.1% -1.8 pp
Away 62.4% → 40.2% -22.1 pp
Over 2.5 27.2% → 53.9% +26.7 pp
Both teams to score 25.5% → 57.3% +31.8 pp
Expected Goals 1.81 → 2.83 +1.02
Most Likely Score 0-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.16 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.6 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

34.6% 2.89 —
25.1% 3.98 —
40.2% 2.48 —
59.8% 1.67 —
65.4% 1.53 —
74.9% 1.34 —

Half-time result

29.8% 3.35 —
51.3% 1.95 —
18.9% 5.3 —

Half-time double chance

81.1% 1.23 —
70.2% 1.43 —
48.7% 2.05 —

Both halves

8.4% 11.95 —

HT/FT

18.8% 5.33 —
6.5% 15.34 —
4.5% 21.98 —
14.5% 6.91 —
15.6% 6.43 —
21.3% 4.7 —
3.1% 32.57 —
14.4% 6.93 —

HT/FT double chance

55.3% 1.81 —
59.1% 1.69 —
47.9% 2.09 —
29.7% 3.36 —
39.1% 2.56 —
28.6% 3.5 —
34.5% 2.9 —
51.5% 1.94 —
54.3% 1.84 —

Total goals

93.9% 1.06 —
77.2% 1.3 —
53.9% 1.85 —
31.5% 3.17 —
22.8% 4.39 —
46.1% 2.17 —
68.5% 1.46 —

1st-half goals

56.2% 1.78 —
19.9% 5.02 —

Home team goals

74.0% 1.35 —
39.3% 2.54 —

Away team goals

77.2% 1.3 —
43.3% 2.31 —

Both to score

57.3% 1.74 —

Corners

65.5% 1.53 —
54.2% 1.84 —
43.2% 2.31 —
33.2% 3.01 —
24.3% 4.12 —
45.8% 2.18 —
56.8% 1.76 —
66.8% 1.5 —
75.7% 1.32 —

Home corners

70.9% 1.41 —
56.0% 1.78 —
41.1% 2.43 —

Away corners

53.2% 1.88 —
36.6% 2.73 —
23.1% 4.33 —

Cards

65.3% 1.53 —
46.7% 2.14 —
30.2% 3.31 —
18.4% 5.45 —
53.3% 1.88 —
69.8% 1.43 —
81.7% 1.22 —

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