Chelsea – Leeds
Home
49%
2.03 fair
Draw
25%
4.07 fair
Away
26%
3.81 fair
Expected Goals2.72
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
46.6%
→
49.1%
+2.6 pp
Draw
24.3%
→
24.6%
+0.3 pp
Away
29.1%
→
26.2%
-2.8 pp
Over 2.5
54.7%
→
51.3%
-3.3 pp
Both teams to score
57.0%
→
53.8%
-3.2 pp
Expected Goals
2.85 →
2.72
-0.13
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.1% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 24.6% | 4.07 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 75.4% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 29.5% | 3.39 | — | |||
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — |
Both halves
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 27.25 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 15.2% | 6.58 | — | |||
| 10.2% | 9.77 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.51 | — | |||
| 5.8% | 17.39 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.86 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.28 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.19 | — |
Total goals
| 93.5% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 51.3% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 29.0% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — |
Both to score
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — |
Corners
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — |
Away corners
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — |
Cards
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds