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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-21

Bournemouth – Nott'm Forest

Home 46% 2.17 fair
Draw 26% 3.87 fair
Away 28% 3.56 fair
Expected Goals2.65
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

16 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 43.7% → 46.1% +2.4 pp
Draw 25.8% → 25.8% +0.1 pp
Away 30.5% → 28.1% -2.4 pp
Over 2.5 49.1% → 49.5% +0.4 pp
Both teams to score 53.2% → 52.8% -0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.63 → 2.65 +0.02
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.6 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.18 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

46.1% 2.17 —
25.8% 3.87 —
28.1% 3.56 —
71.9% 1.39 —
53.9% 1.85 —
74.2% 1.35 —

Half-time result

36.5% 2.74 —
42.0% 2.38 —
21.5% 4.65 —

Half-time double chance

78.5% 1.27 —
63.5% 1.58 —
58.0% 1.72 —

Both halves

12.8% 7.78 —

HT/FT

28.7% 3.49 —
5.7% 17.61 —
15.2% 6.59 —
15.6% 6.4 —
11.2% 8.93 —
4.5% 22.03 —
14.7% 6.78 —

HT/FT double chance

65.1% 1.53 —
57.2% 1.75 —
34.7% 2.88 —
41.1% 2.43 —
47.8% 2.09 —
27.1% 3.69 —
37.5% 2.66 —
43.3% 2.31 —
46.1% 2.17 —

Total goals

92.9% 1.08 —
74.1% 1.35 —
49.5% 2.02 —
27.8% 3.59 —
25.9% 3.87 —
50.5% 1.98 —
72.2% 1.39 —

1st-half goals

68.8% 1.45 —
32.5% 3.08 —

Home team goals

78.0% 1.28 —
45.3% 2.21 —

Away team goals

67.7% 1.48 —
31.5% 3.18 —

Both to score

52.8% 1.89 —

Corners

77.6% 1.29 —
68.4% 1.46 —
58.2% 1.72 —
48.1% 2.08 —
38.2% 2.62 —
31.6% 3.16 —
41.8% 2.39 —
51.9% 1.93 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Home corners

80.0% 1.25 —
67.3% 1.49 —
53.4% 1.87 —

Away corners

61.3% 1.63 —
44.9% 2.23 —
30.4% 3.29 —

Cards

73.5% 1.36 —
56.3% 1.78 —
40.0% 2.5 —
26.1% 3.84 —
43.7% 2.29 —
60.0% 1.67 —
74.0% 1.35 —

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