Aston Villa – Sunderland
Home
53%
1.88 fair
Draw
25%
4.08 fair
Away
22%
4.51 fair
Expected Goals2.58
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.548%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
48.3%
→
53.3%
+5.0 pp
Draw
25.2%
→
24.5%
-0.7 pp
Away
26.4%
→
22.1%
-4.3 pp
Over 2.5
48.0%
→
47.9%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
50.9%
→
49.2%
-1.7 pp
Expected Goals
2.6 →
2.58
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.51 | — | |||
| 77.8% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
Both halves
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.9% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.45 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — | |||
| 11.3% | 8.87 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.57 | — | |||
| 8.8% | 11.38 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.08 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Total goals
| 92.3% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 72.7% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 27.3% | 3.66 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — |
Both to score
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
Corners
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — |
Home corners
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — |
Away corners
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — |
Cards
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 33.3% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds