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Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-21

Man City – Fulham

Home 67% 1.5 fair
Draw 19% 5.17 fair
Away 14% 7.2 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 68.9% → 66.8% -2.1 pp
Draw 18.5% → 19.3% +0.9 pp
Away 12.6% → 13.9% +1.3 pp
Over 2.5 58.8% → 56.3% -2.5 pp
Both teams to score 50.6% → 49.3% -1.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.05 → 2.94 -0.11
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.94
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.68 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.71 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

66.8% 1.5 —
19.3% 5.17 —
13.9% 7.2 —
86.1% 1.16 —
33.2% 3.01 —
80.7% 1.24 —

Half-time result

53.9% 1.85 —
34.9% 2.86 —
11.1% 9.0 —

Half-time double chance

88.9% 1.12 —
46.1% 2.17 —
65.1% 1.54 —

Both halves

26.3% 3.81 —

HT/FT

47.8% 2.09 —
4.9% 20.33 —
16.9% 5.91 —
11.5% 8.7 —
6.5% 15.36 —
6.2% 16.23 —

HT/FT double chance

81.2% 1.23 —
72.5% 1.38 —
24.2% 4.14 —
57.7% 1.73 —
57.2% 1.75 —
15.2% 6.58 —
33.4% 3.0 —
31.6% 3.16 —
27.1% 3.69 —

Total goals

94.8% 1.06 —
78.8% 1.27 —
56.3% 1.78 —
34.4% 2.91 —
21.1% 4.73 —
43.7% 2.29 —
65.6% 1.52 —

1st-half goals

74.0% 1.35 —
39.1% 2.56 —

Home team goals

87.7% 1.14 —
62.3% 1.61 —

Away team goals

56.4% 1.77 —
20.2% 4.94 —

Both to score

49.3% 2.03 —

Corners

78.0% 1.28 —
68.9% 1.45 —
58.4% 1.71 —
48.3% 2.07 —
38.5% 2.6 —
31.1% 3.22 —
41.6% 2.4 —
51.7% 1.94 —
61.6% 1.62 —

Home corners

85.0% 1.18 —
74.4% 1.34 —
62.1% 1.61 —

Away corners

51.6% 1.94 —
34.1% 2.93 —
21.3% 4.7 —

Cards

67.1% 1.49 —
48.7% 2.05 —
32.1% 3.12 —
19.5% 5.13 —
51.3% 1.95 —
67.9% 1.47 —
80.5% 1.24 —

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