Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-08 14:00
Sunderland – Chelsea
Home
28%
3.63 fair
Draw
26%
3.86 fair
Away
47%
2.15 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Sunderland – Chelsea
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Sunderland – Chelsea
Expected Goals2.64
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
32.6%
→
27.5%
-5.1 pp
Draw
25.8%
→
25.9%
+0.1 pp
Away
41.6%
→
46.6%
+4.9 pp
Over 2.5
50.6%
→
49.0%
-1.6 pp
Both teams to score
54.5%
→
53.1%
-1.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.69 →
2.64
-0.05
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 25.9% | 3.86 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.2% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.2% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Both halves
| 5.2% | 19.27 | — |
HT/FT
| 13.0% | 7.67 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 25.0 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.26 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.29 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.69 | — | |||
| 28.4% | 3.53 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
Total goals
| 92.8% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.67 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.21 | — |
Both to score
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — |
Corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — |
Away corners
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — |
Cards
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds