Fixtures / EPL / 2026-11-08 14:00
Crystal Palace – Liverpool
Home
24%
4.21 fair
Draw
24%
4.24 fair
Away
53%
1.9 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Crystal Palace – Liverpool
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
Crystal Palace – Liverpool
Expected Goals2.88
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
25.4%
→
23.8%
-1.6 pp
Draw
24.0%
→
23.6%
-0.4 pp
Away
50.6%
→
52.6%
+2.0 pp
Over 2.5
54.7%
→
55.0%
+0.3 pp
Both teams to score
56.3%
→
56.1%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
2.86 →
2.88
+0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.8% | 4.21 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.24 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Both halves
| 4.5% | 22.17 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 32.57 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.74 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.17 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.54 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 21.01 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.15 | — | |||
| 49.0% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — |
Total goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — |
Home team goals
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — |
Away team goals
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — |
Both to score
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — |
Corners
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.12 | — |
Away corners
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — |
Cards
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.43 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds